The Gathering Storm: The ICJ, Genocidal Divisions, Democracy & International Ill-will.

How the pressure created by the ICJ verdict, the upcoming US election & international public opinion combine to influence both Netanyahu & Biden may be crucial in determining the next phases of the war in Gaza.

Peter Winn-Brown
24 min readFeb 16, 2024
ICJ President Joan Donoghue addresses the court of The Hague giving the verdict on initial measures to be taken by Israel
International Court of Justice President Joan Donoghue and ICJ judges arrive prior to the verdict announcement in the genocide case against Israel brought by South Africa in The Hague, Netherlands on January 26, 2024. Image from Common Dreams. (Remko de Waal/ANP/AFP via Getty Images)

“I can prove to you that Hamas did not become more moderate after Sheikh Yassin was eliminated. I can prove to that when we killed Abbas Musawi and Nasrullah took over the security situation in Israel didn’t really improve. That’s why, when we deal, not with the one coming to kill us immediately, but with the person preaching, we are headed towards a place which is forbidden by international law, and basic justice poses huge question marks as to its ethics. But I’m talking to you as head of Shin Bet. It’s ineffective.”

Ami Ayalon, Head of Israeli security agency the Shin Bet, 1996–2000, on the futility of violence to quell resistance in Palestine & Israel. From The Gatekeepers.

The gathering storm…

The world is changing and the U.S. led liberal international order is being dismantled day by day, as much by the enforcers themselves as by the actions of any other…

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Peter Winn-Brown

The past can illuminate the present if we shine the light of inquiry openly, truthfully, with attention to detail & care for the salient facts.